With just eight games remaining in the Championship season, Stoke City, Derby County, and Cardiff City are locked in a tense relegation battle. Stoke currently sits just one point above the drop zone, making every upcoming fixture crucial in their bid to avoid the dreaded drop to League One.
Last weekend’s dramatic loss to Millwall was a bitter setback for Stoke. Mark Robins’ side appeared to be holding on for a hard-fought draw, but a controversial late penalty decision allowed Mihailo Ivanovic to snatch a last-minute victory for Millwall. Meanwhile, Derby County picked up a crucial win against Plymouth Argyle, closing the gap and further tightening the relegation fight. Cardiff also secured a vital victory at Ewood Park, meaning the three struggling teams are now separated by just a single point.
According to Opta’s statistical projections, Derby County is facing an uphill battle, with a 35.5% chance of relegation. They are predicted to finish the season with 47.31 points, placing them in 22nd. Meanwhile, Cardiff is expected to slightly edge them out with 48.01 points, finishing just outside the relegation zone in 21st place. Stoke City, by the narrowest of margins, is forecasted to end up in 20th place with 48.27 points, potentially securing their Championship status by the skin of their teeth.
While March results don’t seal a team’s fate, Stoke’s precarious position leaves little room for error. Every point gained or dropped in the coming weeks could mean the difference between survival and relegation. With key fixtures ahead, the battle to remain in the second tier of English football is shaping up to be one of the closest in recent years.
For Stoke, Derby, and Cardiff, the final stretch of the season will test their resilience, squad depth, and ability to handle pressure. Fans can expect plenty of drama as these clubs fight to secure their place in next season’s Championship.